Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.485491 0.572976 0.670297 0.786386 0.920883 1.071593 1.253053
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.415185 0.540409 0.692427 0.889723 1.138100 1.439418 1.831585
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.328345 0.468351 0.652660 0.911095 1.261822 1.718594 2.355425
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.275179 0.427473 0.643557 0.968751 1.441087 2.096513 3.067698
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.230253 0.388014 0.628316 1.014742 1.612495 2.491669 3.868638
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.187703 0.342339 0.594565 1.026679 1.736107 2.838004 4.655006
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.154595 0.304174 0.564587 1.038192 1.860230 3.203183 5.525074
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.134164 0.283290 0.559039 1.088766 2.055885 3.709435 6.692124
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.125924 0.283318 0.590455 1.209823 2.391997 4.495182 8.431091
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.110413 0.265033 0.583675 1.258396 2.604662 5.096072 9.930793
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.092071 0.236087 0.549744 1.247339 2.702299 5.502186 11.133501
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.074239 0.203563 0.501376 1.197118 2.713546 5.746551 12.064968
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.060106 0.176560 0.460434 1.157464 2.745439 6.046323 13.167070
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.054261 0.169228 0.463601 1.217959 3.002590 6.835340 15.350349
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.044606 0.148686 0.430038 1.185589 3.047950 7.191464 16.693381
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.039284 0.139024 0.422044 1.214338 3.239300 7.886400 18.842305
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.034537 0.129672 0.412790 1.238165 3.423087 8.589465 21.097932
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.029424 0.117467 0.392661 1.228983 3.523507 9.115926 23.024247
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.025298 0.107238 0.375864 1.225637 3.638467 9.691791 25.135540
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.023007 0.102906 0.376194 1.271937 3.893258 10.638319 28.234384
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.022775 0.106436 0.402623 1.401667 4.397181 12.263144 33.151705
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.020782 0.102259 0.402563 1.449856 4.679626 13.361662 36.894092
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.017851 0.093051 0.382929 1.431903 4.768679 13.971766 39.481051